Analisi e valutazione del rischio geopolitico in Asia centrale
Title: Analisi e valutazione del rischio geopolitico in Asia centrale
Publication: Geopolitical Report ISSN 2532-845X
Authors: Silvia Boltuc, Giuliano Bifolchi
Citation: Silvia Boltuc, Giuliano Bifolchi, “Analisi e valutazione del rischio geopolitico in Asia centrale”, Geopolitical Report ISSN 2532-845X, Vol.1, pp. 3-14
Abstract in English
In recent years, the international arena has experienced several critical issues that have increased global geopolitical risk, such as the pandemic, terrorism and jihadist propaganda, the Ukraine conflict, and the economic crisis. Central Asia has not been immune from these phenomena: in 2022, the region faced a series of regional problems and external geopolitical pressures. This paper wants to evaluate Central Asia’s geopolitical risk by examining the regional geopolitical dynamics and the problems that could lead to destabilisation and lack of security and, therefore, affect the internal stability of the Central Asian republics and the possibility of attracting investment.
Keywords: Central Asia, geopolitical risk, security, terrorism, economy
Abstract in Italiano
Gli ultimi anni hanno visto il panorama internazionale affrontare criticità che hanno elevato il rischio geopolitico mondiale. La pandemia, il terrorismo, il conflitto in Ucraina, la crisi economica. L’Asia centrale non è rimasta immune da questi fenomeni e nel 2022 la regione ha dovuto affrontare una serie di criticità interne e le pressioni geopolitiche esterne. Obiettivo di questo paper è quello di valutare il rischio geopolitico della regione centrasiatica prendendo in esame le dinamiche geopolitiche regionali e le problematiche che potrebbero comportare destabilizzazione e mancanza di si-curezza, fattori che influirebbero sulla tenuta interna delle repubbliche centrasiatiche così come sulla possibilità di attrarre investimenti.
Parole chiave: Asia centrale, rischio geopolitico, sicurezza, terrorismo, economia
Authors bio
Silvia Boltuc, SpecialEurasia Managing Director, is an international affairs specialist, business consultant and political analyst who has supported private and public institutions in decision-making by providing reports, risk assessments, and consultancy. She is also the Director of the Energy & Engineering Department of CeSEM – Centro Studi Eurasia Mediterraneo and an editor/analyst at the Italian media agencies Notizie Geopolitiche, Opinio Juris, and European Affairs Magazine. Previously, she worked as an Associate Director at ASRIE Analytica. She co-authored the book “Conflitto in Ucraina: rischio geopolitico, propaganda jihadista e minaccia per l’Europa” (Enigma Edizioni 2022).
Giuliano Bifolchi, SpecialEurasia Research Manager, has vast experience in Intelligence analysis, geopolitics, security, conflict management, and ethnic minorities. He holds a PhD in Islamic history from the University of Rome Tor Vergata, a master’s degree in Peacebuilding Management and International Relations from Pontifical University San Bonaventura, and a master’s degree in History from the University of Rome Tor Vergata. Previously, he founded and directed ASRIE Analytica. He has written several academic papers on geopolitics, conflicts, and jihadist propaganda. He is the author of the books “Geopolitical del Caucaso russo. Gli interessi del Cremlino e degli attori stranieri nelle dinamiche locali nordcaucasiche” (Sandro Teti Editore 2020) and “Storia del Caucaso del Nord tra presenza russa, Islam e terrorism”o (Anteo Edizioni 2022). He was also the co-author of the book “Conflitto in Ucraina: rischio geopolitico, propaganda jihadista e minaccia per l’Europa” (Enigma Edizioni)