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Israel-Iran Conflict: Central Asia’s Reactions and Concerns for Regional Security
This report analyses the Israeli-Iranian conflict’s potential impact on Central Asian nations and their reactions. Central Asian governments express concern and advocate for de-escalation, while public opinion largely rejects military support for Iran.
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Israel’s Massive Attack Against Iran: Intelligence Brief
This intelligence brief provides a structured assessment of the recent Israeli military strikes against Iran, based strictly on open-source reporting from local and international media outlets. The report aims to inform about the key developments, strategic implications, and potential courses of action stemming from this event.
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Friends or Foes: Russia-China Relations and the FSB Intel Leaked Document
This report outlines the contents of a leaked eight-page planning document by the FSB’s Department of Counterintelligence Operations (DKRO), which describes China as a significant intelligence threat to the Russian Federation.
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Fergana Valley: Stability, Development, and Strategic Interests
The Fergana Valley, a strategically significant region in Central Asia, has long been a focal point of geopolitical tensions and economic development challenges. Spanning Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan, unresolved border disputes, ethnic tensions, terrorism, and economic fragility have shaped the valley.
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CASA-1000 and Central Asian Regional Stability
The successful implementation of the CASA-1000 energy transmission project represents a critical milestone for regional cooperation in Central Asia. This initiative aims to facilitate the export of surplus hydroelectric power from Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan to Afghanistan and Pakistan, enhancing economic growth, regional stability, and international investment opportunities.
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United States: Political Polarisation and Its Impact on Economic Stability
This report assesses the growing political polarisation in the United States and its impact on economic stability. Utilising sources from publicly available government reports, economic indicators, and expert analyses, it examines key political trends and their implications for economic growth, investment confidence, and market stability.
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Navigating a Sea of Mistrust: The Negative Informational Climate of Armenia and Azerbaijan Negotiations
This report examines Azerbaijan’s recent escalation of information dissemination strategies, particularly through the Ministry of Defence’s daily reports of alleged Armenian ceasefire violations. Historically, similar narratives have been employed to shape public perception and create a justification framework for strategic manoeuvres.
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SpecialEurasia 2024: Our Year in Review
In 2024, SpecialEurasia broadened its activities, organised international visits, participated in global events, and published numerous reports. Focused on delivering actionable intelligence for decision-making, we refined our methodology by investing in modern technologies and adapting to geopolitical developments.
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Threat Assessment of Post-Assad Syria’s Impact on Central Asia
This report synthesises international and local data, together with previous SpecialEurasia assessments, to analyse the consequences of Assad’s downfall in Syria and the potential contribution of Central Asian foreign fighters.
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Syria: Assad’s Fall, Iran and Russia’s “Strategic and Military” Defeat, and HTS Victory
The Assad regime’s sudden collapse in Syria marks a profound and far-reaching geopolitical shift. The rapid Syrian opposition military gains, spearheaded by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), have significantly altered regional political and military conditions.
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North Korea’s Troops Deployment to Russia: Analysis of Regional Security Risks and the Ukraine Conflict
North Korea’s choice to send troops to support Russia in Ukraine is a significant change in global dynamics that could affect security in Eastern Europe and the Asia-Pacific region.
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First Anniversary of Hamas Attack Against Israel on October 7th, 2023: An Intelligence Report
This report analyses at the situation one year after the Hamas attacks on Israel, which occurred on October 7th, 2023. The report highlights the continuous risks in the area, such as the role of Hezbollah, Iran’s engagement, and the emergence of terrorist organisations like the Islamic State.
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Iran Attacked Israel: A Preliminary Risk Assessment Report
On Tuesday, October 1st, 2024, Iran launched approximately 180 missiles at Israel in response to the reported assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and Hamas’ political leader Ismail Haniyeh. SpecialEurasia published this preliminary report based on local and international public available information (PAI) and previous analyses and provided possible future risk scenarios.
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Afghanistan: Taliban Celebrated 3 Years of Their Rule Amid Security Problems
This report evaluates the implications of Taliban’s third anniversary celebrations amid persistent security threats from groups like the Islamic State Wilayat Khorasan (ISKP) and assesses the Taliban’s ability to maintain stability in Afghanistan.
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Christian Tratzi’s Interview with Cusano News7 About Terrorism Growing Threat in Europe.
In a recent interview with Cusano News 7, Christian Tratzi, a Terrorism Analyst at SpecialEurasia, engaged in a comprehensive discussion with anchor-woman Giulia Cavola about the developing threat of terrorism on the international stage, with special focus on the European continent.