Taliban attacks increased in Afghanistan in the last quarter of 2019

The Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR) recently published a quarterly report which highlights that over the last quarter of 2019, the number of Taliban attacks in Afghanistan increased by 17% compared to the same period in 2018. The high level of attacks conducted by the Taliban might seriously threaten the dialogue on the peace agreement started by the United States.

The increase in the number of attacks began in September, the month of preparation and holding of presidential elections, during which anti-government forces repeatedly carried out attacks and sabotage to disrupt the vote. According to the Resolute Support mission, last September was the month with the highest number of attacks since June 2012 and the highest number of successful attacks since January 2010. October 2019 accounted for the largest number of attacks since July 2013.

In the second half of the year, anti-government forces increased their activity. In fact,  when the United States started the negotiations with the Taliban, the scale of hostilities decreased, but later the Taliban resumed participation in attacks.

In particular, the number of Taliban attacks in October, November and December 2019 reached 8,204, compared to 6,974 in the last three months of 2018. In the second half of 2019, compared to the same period in 2018, the number of attacks increased by 6%, and successful attacks by 4%.

The distribution of attacks in various parts of the country remained largely the same: active fighting took place in the southern and western provinces. In the North and East of Afghanistan, the areas of militant activity expanded.

The United States is preparing to sign a peace agreement with the Taliban, but the militants regularly carry out attacks on the Afghan guards. In a recent speech, US Secretary of state Mike Pompeo said that to sign a peace agreement, the Taliban must demonstrate their readiness to reduce the level of violence in practice.

Author: Silvia Boltuc

Written by

  • Silvia Boltuc

    SpecialEurasia Co-Founder & Managing Director. She is an international affairs specialist, business consultant, and political analyst who has supported private and public institutions in decision-making by providing reports, risk assessments, and consultancy. Because of her work and reporting activities, she has travelled in Europe, the Middle East, South-East Asia, and the post-Soviet space assessing domestic dynamics and situations and creating a network of local contacts. She is also the Director of the Energy & Engineering Department of CeSEM – Centro Studi Eurasia Mediterraneo and the Project Manager of Persian Files. Previously, she worked as an Associate Director at ASRIE Analytica. She was the co-author of the books Conflitto in Ucraina: rischio geopolitico, propaganda jihadista e minaccia per l’Europa (Enigma Edizioni 2022) and Geopolitica dell’Asia centrale (SpecialEurasia 2025), while she contributed with dedicated chapters to the books Il Nuovo Ordine Globale. I protagonisti del multilateralismo nelle aree continentali. Le principali istituzioni di riferimento in Africa, Americhe, Artico, Asia, Europa (Armando Editore 2024) and Asia Centrale. La riscoperta dell’Heartland. Le opportunità per l’Italia e l’Unione Europea (Armando Editore 2025). She speaks Italian, English, German, Russian and Arabic.

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