Executive Summary This report evaluates the current relations between Ukraine and Kazakhstan after the naval drone strike on the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) terminal near Novorossiysk on November 29, 2025, and Astana’s formal protest to Kyiv.
The Kremlin is utilising military force, political pressure, and intimidation to compel Ukraine and its partners to adopt positions that favour Russian interests.
This report analyses Ukraine’s investment climate through a SWOT framework and offers strategic recommendations for stakeholders seeking to assess risk exposure and economic potential.
This report assesses the assassination of Colonel Ivan Voronych, a senior operative of Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU), shot dead in central Kyiv in a professionally executed operation.
The arrest of an Islamic State militant in Ukraine has raised concern on the country’s potential role as a transit territory towards Europe for terrorist groups and jihadist fighters.
The presence of North Caucasian volunteer fighters within the international legion in Ukraine presents a complex dynamic with implications for the broader regional and geopolitical landscape. Notably, their vocal expressions of solidarity with Palestine and criticism of Kyiv’s support for Israel underscore a nuanced discord within the Ukrainian conflict theatre
In the ongoing contest between Russia and Ukraine for endorsement from the Islamic world, the North Caucasus emerges as a critical asset in the Kremlin’s strategic arsenal. It serves as a linchpin for Moscow’s domestic political efforts in managing a diverse, multireligious, and multiethnic society, while also underpinning Russia’s foreign policy activities directed towards the Arab-Muslim world.
The KazanForum 2023 and Zelensky’s visit to Jeddah during the Arab League summit underlined how strategic is the Muslim world for Russia and Ukraine.
On the surface, the Ukraine war appears to be a conflict between two primary actors, namely, the Russian Federation and the sovereign nation of Ukraine. On deeper analysis, however, it can be said that the Ukraine war is an example of great power competition.
The presence of the Musul’manskij korpus “Kavkaz” in the Ukraine conflict stressed the significant role that volunteer battalions have in supporting Kyiv and fighting against the Russian Federation, which they consider an imminent threat to the Ukrainian territory and the Muslim umma.
On Tuesday, February 21st, 2023, SpecialEurasia, Mondo Internazionale, Opinio Juris – Law & Political Review and MInter Group srl organised the online webinar “A year of Ukraine conflict: insights, geopolitical analysis, possible future developments” to analyse the last year of fighting in Ukraine contextualising this event in the Eurasian geopolitical chessboard.
Following the allegations of Iran being involved in the Ukrainian conflict by delivering weapons to Russia, Tehran has been under severe international pressure and sanctions. Given its good relationship with Iran and its neutral foreign policy, Oman might emerge as a strategic regional mediator and help resolve critical issues such as the revival of the Iranian nuclear deal and the dispute between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
In the context of the Ukraine conflict and the changing geopolitical scenario in Eurasia, Islamabad denied the ammunition supply to Ukraine to avoid any possible deterioration of the relations with the Russian Federation, which is actively involved in promoting the Pakistani energy and logistic markets.
SpecialEurasia, Mondo Internazionale, Opinio Juris – Law & Political Review e MInter Group srl organizzano il giorno martedì 21 febbraio 2023 alle ore 19.00 il webinar online “Un anno di guerra in Ucraina: riflessioni, analisi geopolitica, possibili sviluppi futuri” il cui obiettivo è quello di analizzare le dinamiche inerenti al conflitto ucraino contestualizzandone nello scacchiere geopolitico eurasiatico.
La presenza di foreign fighters e battaglioni di volontari in Ucraina accresce il rischio geopolitico dello scacchiere strategico eurasiatico essendo questi attori non statali impegnati attualmente nel combattere le forze armate russe e al contempo collegati direttamente o indirettamente con membri della diaspora o della militanza armata-jihadista che negli ultimi anni hanno operato nello spazio post-sovietico e in Medio Oriente.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has sparked economic sanctions, which are meant to cripple the economy while detracting from Russia’s ability to wage war. This paper will analyse the sanctions’ impact, the war on the Russian economy and possible future implications.
The creation of the Turan Battalion confirmed that the Ukraine conflict had become the perfect battleground for international fighters and contractors united by the desire to fight against the Russian Federation and promote their ideologies and goals.
The possibility that Donbas will soon hold a referendum to join the Russian Federation might significantly influence the Eurasian geopolitical chessboard by exacerbating the confrontation between Moscow and the West and, therefore, impacting regional and international political and socioeconomic dynamics.
In a video message, Russian President Vladimir Putin declared the partial military mobilisation, confirming the difficult situation that the Russian troops are experiencing in the Ukraine conflict due to Kyiv’s counter-offensive to reconquer Donbas and Crimea.
Il libro “Conflitto in Ucraina: rischio geopolitico, propaganda jihadista e minaccia per l’Europa” pubblicato da Enigma Edizioni è nato da un progetto di SpecialEurasia con l’obiettivo di analizzare il rischio geopolitico derivante dalla propaganda jihadista e dalla presenza dei foreign fighters nel conflitto ucraino e le possibili ripercussioni per il continente europeo.
Recent cyber attacks against Italian government websites highlighted the Ukraine conflict’s impact on the cyber landscape and possible future threats to Europe and Russia’s public institutions and private businesses.
According to the Russian Defense Ministry, several foreign fighters from different countries are fighting in Ukraine to support Kyiv’s Government. On the other hand, Middle Eastern newspapers reported that Syrian and Iranian fighters might arrive in Ukraine to fight among the Kremlin’s ranks.
{:en}Il giorno sabato 23 aprile 2022 alle ore 14.00 il team di SpecialEurasia prenderà parte all’evento “Storia di un Conflitto. Dall’Euromaidan ai giorni nostri. La Repubblica di San Marino e i nuovi equilibri geopolitici mondiali” organizzato da Libera.{:}{:it}Il giorno sabato 23 aprile 2022 alle ore 14.00 si svolgerà a San Marino l’evento “Storia di un Conflitto. Dall’Euromaidan ai giorni nostri. La Repubblica di San Marino e i nuovi equilibri geopolitici mondiali” organizzato da Libera a cui prenderà parte del team di SpecialEurasia per illustrare il quadro geopolitico dell’attuale conflitto ucraino, i problemi per la sicurezza e i cambiamenti nei mercati…
Since the beginning of the special military operation of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine, political leaders and experts have been seriously concerned about the situation on the world food market. It is possible that a number of countries in North Africa and the Middle East may face a real threat of famine.
The Ukraine conflict has highlighted the prominent role that cybercriminals and hackers might play in a contemporary war characterised by the extensive use of tech products, social media and the Internet.
Since the Ukraine conflict has attracted foreign fighters and the Russian Armed Forces have among their soldiers Muslim believers, the leaders of the Russian Muslim organisations released a statement supporting the Kremlin.
While the Russian military forces are approaching Kyiv, Chechnya is trying to play its diplomatic role in the Gulf Arab countries to support the Russian Federation in the international arena.
In the emerging realities of international relations, it seems crucial to develop an understanding of how the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which escalated in 2022, will affect the situation in various regions of Eurasia, for example, in the Caspian region, which after the collapse of the USSR turned into one of the most important and complex geopolitical problems of international relations.
Until now, the Ukrainian conflict has not changed the situation in the Russian influence areas where regional players mainly preferred to maintain neutrality and avoid any confrontation with Moscow.
The Ukraine conflict has attracted the attention of foreign fighters eager to fight against the Russian troops and the Chechen kadyrovtsy. If the war lasts longer than Moscow planned, there is a severe threat that Ukraine might evolve into a battleground where foreign fighters will promote terrorism and jihadist propaganda.
As clashes in Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities escalate, Brussels is discussing additional manoeuvres to strike Russia, although Moscow might have adopted counter-measures based on alternative gas pipelines to export its natural gas to the Asian markets and support its economy.
As long as Russian and Ukrainian troops are fighting each other on the ground, Anonymous started cyber warfare against the Kremlin, showing that in the 21st century, countries and non-state actors might fight a war on different levels.
The Chechen kadyrovtsy might have been deployed in Ukraine to support the Russian troops. This news caused the reaction of the Caucasus Emirate and underlined the important role that Chechnya plays in the Kremlin’s foreign policy and military strategy.
The Ukrainian army announced that fights are underway in the north of Kyiv underlying the Kremlin’s desire to conquer the Ukrainian capital, neutralise the military capabilities and overthrow the Government.
The war between Russia and Ukraine, which has just begun, could also have implications in the sphere of the operations and propaganda of the Salafist-jihadist organisations.
Since the early morning hours, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has affected the financial markets, particularly the Russian economy, creating fears and scepticism among investors and the Russian citizens.
The Russian Federation launched a military operation in Ukraine and threatened consequences for those who interfered in the conflict supporting Kyiv.
Russia recognised the independence of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) and Luhansk People’s Republic (LPR), marking a decisive move in the framework of the Ukrainian Crisis and alarming the international community about the imminence of the conflict.
Fin dall’inizio il Conflitto nel Donbass si è frapposto nei rapporti tra la Federazione Russa e l’Unione Europea così come nelle relazioni tra Mosca e Kiev. Un suo acutizzarsi potrebbe comportare la destabilizzazione non solo della regione, ma dell’intero scacchiere geopolitico euroasiatico.
Anche se l’Ucraina guarda alla democrazia dell’Unione Europea, attualmente il paese è ancora caratterizzato da un sistema oligarchico e da una leadership politica che ha fatto del nazionalismo e del militarismo elementi portanti della propria politica e comunicazione strategica interna.
L’Ucraina sta affrontando una carenza di energia a causa di problemi tecnici verificatisi il 2 e il 3 febbraio alle centrali termiche di Zaporozhye e Kurakhovskaya. Questo evento sottolinea l’attuale situazione di rischio del sistema di trasmissione energetico ucraino e la necessità di Kiev di migliorare la produzione e la distribuzione di energia interna.
Il conflitto del Nagorno-Karabakh ha evidenziato come le aree di crisi all’interno dello spazio post-sovietico possano rapidamente sperimentare un riacutizzarsi degli scontri in grado di causare una ripresa del conflitto armato capace di influenzare le dinamiche locali e interessare gli attori internazionali. In Ucraina, la regione del Donbass, a causa delle dinamiche locali, potrebbe divenire il prossimo teatro di scontro nello scacchiere euroasiatico.
L’Ucraina del presidente Zelensky continua a guardare in direzione occidentale auspicando di divenire membro dell’Unione Europea e della NATO, ma si vede costretta a gestire una situazione difficile interna aggravata dalla crisi sanitaria del COVID-19 e dall’acutizzarsi di vecchi problemi come la corruzione, il potere degli oligarchi e lo stallo in merito al conflitto con la Russia.
L’Ucraina orientale a causa delle dinamiche locali e dei forti interessi internazionali, potrebbe divenire il prossimo teatro di scontro nello scacchiere geopolitico euroasiatico.
Report da Kiev sulle elezioni presidenziali che si svolgeranno in Ucraina in un clima di incertezza scandito dalla volontà di favorire nel paese un processo democratico, dall’influenza degli oligarchi, dal conflitto con la Russia e dalla necessità di combattere la corruzione e incrementare lo sviluppo economico.