Author:Andrea Serino
Why the Durand Line Matters: Towards a De-Escalation Between Afghanistan and Pakistan?
This report evaluates whether a diplomatic resolution regarding the Durand Line would mitigate regional volatility or inadvertently catalyse local insurgencies by further fragmenting the Pashtun ethnic core.
Pakistan-Afghanistan War and Its Impact on Islamabad’s Security Landscape
This report examines prospective threats to Islamabad’s internal stability, arising from the sustained Pakistan-Afghanistan war and the recent attacks by the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) and Tehrik-e Taliban Pakistan (TTP).
Islamabad Suicide Attack: Sunni-Shia Tensions and Regional Spillover Risks
This report underscores a link between the recent terrorist attack against a Shia mosque in Islamabad and a potential re-emergence of sectarian fractures in Pakistan.
Al-Hawl: The Forgotten Regional Jihadist Hub in Syria and Its New Global Posture
The purpose of this report is to underscore how the change of power in this very specific section of Syria may connect Islamic State militias from the Middle East to the Khorasan by using the al-Hawl refugees camp as a logistic hub.
The Turkish Great Game in Afghanistan Between Opportunities and Challenges
This report highlights Turkey’s Great Game in Afghanistan and the linked opportunities and challenges for Ankara’s engagement with the Taliban.
The New Opium Afghan Road and the Reshaping of Criminal Networks in Central Asia
This report seeks to demonstrate how the inability to control drug trafficking and its expansion in Central Asia presents another major challenge for the current de facto Taliban government, although the movement ban the opium cultivation in 2022.
The BLA and the Taliban: Two Fronts in Pakistan’s War on Terror
This report reviews recent incidents and highlights Pakistan’s necessity to counter both the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) and Tehrik-e Taliban Pakistan (TTP) with a structure counterterrorism strategy.
Tajikistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan: Towards a Central Asian Normalisation of the de facto current Taliban regime?
This report aims to evaluate the developing diplomatic relations between Tajikistan and the Taliban, following the recent meeting in Kabul, through an analysis of pertinent events and research.
The Grey Zone between Pakistan, Afghanistan, and China: Assessing the Threat of Uighur Jihadism
Executive Summary Uighur jihadism represents not only a menace for China’s internal stability but also for its reliability as a major actor in the international arena.
The Tajik-Uzbek Jihadism: Transnational Violence and Security Policies in Central Asia
This report aims to analyse the intersection between the Uzbek and the Tajiks, which we can consider among the most influential ethnic jihadist groups in Central Asia.
