The latest episode of the Geopolitical Report podcast by SpecialEurasia focuses on Armenia’s shifting foreign and domestic political landscape, reflecting the country’s evolving geopolitical trajectory and internal challenges.
As Armenia takes legislative steps towards European Union accession, while simultaneously grappling with domestic discontent and complex regional dynamics, this episode provides an in-depth analysis of the current situation.
One of the central themes of the podcast is the Armenian Parliament’s recent passage of a bill initiating the process of EU accession. This development underscores Yerevan’s growing alignment with the West amid deteriorating relations with Russia.
Despite parliamentary support, the Armenian government has yet to formally apply for membership, with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan emphasising the need for public endorsement through a referendum and practical preliminary steps such as visa liberalisation. The shift in Armenia’s foreign policy orientation follows Moscow’s failure to provide decisive support during the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, prompting Armenia to explore new geopolitical alliances.
The episode also delves into the significant economic and strategic implications of Armenia’s potential EU membership. Russia has warned that joining the EU is incompatible with continued membership in the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU), potentially leading to severe economic consequences, including increased energy costs and disruptions to Armenian-Russian trade.
With Russian-Armenian trade currently outpacing Armenia’s economic exchanges with the EU, this transition presents considerable risks and challenges. Armenian officials have acknowledged the necessity of choosing between the EU and EEU, highlighting the geopolitical dilemma facing the country.
Nagorno-Karabakh refugees’ protest in Armenia
Domestically, the podcast examines the intensifying dissatisfaction within Armenia, particularly among the displaced Nagorno-Karabakh population. Thousands of refugees have staged protests in Yerevan, demanding government support for their reintegration and safe return to their homeland. The Pashinyan administration’s decision to reduce financial aid for these refugees has fuelled further frustration, with demonstrators warning that their struggle could escalate into a broader political movement. The government’s reluctance to address the Nagorno-Karabakh issue in international negotiations signals a strategic pivot that may have long-term implications for Armenia’s internal stability and national identity.
SpecialEurasia’s previous visit to Yerevan in June 2024 provided direct insights into the evolving situation on the ground. During our stay, we witnessed local protests against the Armenian government, a reflection of growing dissatisfaction with its policies and leadership. Simultaneously, Armenia’s increasing engagement with the United States and Western partners was evident, underscoring the country’s gradual shift away from its traditional alliances. These developments highlight the broader transformation underway in Armenia’s geopolitical orientation and domestic affairs.
The Geopolitical Report podcast continues to offer comprehensive assessments of key geopolitical trends, providing expert analysis on significant international developments. This latest episode serves as a crucial resource for understanding Armenia’s current trajectory and the potential ramifications of its shifting alliances and internal challenges.
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