Geopolitical Report ISSN 2785-2598 Volume 45 Issue 3
Author: Giuliano Bifolchi
Executive Summary
This report covers the recent counter-terrorism operations in Kazakhstan, resulting in the arrest of five individuals involved in terrorism-related activities. The operations underscore the ongoing threat within the country and the effectiveness of the government’s response.
SpecialEurasia researched for this report from Kazakh and regional media, official statements, and previous analyses.
Key Findings
- Arrests and Seizures: Kazakh security forces detained five individuals on terrorism-related charges. The security forces confiscated weapons and extremist materials from their homes.
- Criminal Histories: Among the detainees, two have previous convictions for violent crimes, and one received training in foreign terrorist camps, indicating a significant risk.
- Legal Actions: Pre-trial investigations are ongoing under articles 174, 256, and 259 of the Kazakh Criminal Code, with specific details withheld as per legal procedures.
- Regional Risks: Although Kazakhstan has a lower rate of terrorist incidents than other Central Asian nations, the country remains vigilant, especially because of its proximity to Afghanistan and the influence of regional extremist groups.
Scenario Overview
In July and August 2024, Kazakhstan’s National Security Committee (KNB), in coordination with local police and the prosecutor’s office, conducted counter-terrorism operations in Astana, Almaty, and the West Kazakhstan regions. These actions led to the detention of five individuals associated with terrorism. Kazakh security forces, during the operations, found weapons, ammunition, and extremist literature.
The detainees’ backgrounds include prior criminal activities such as murder and robbery, and connections to foreign terrorist organisations. These operations reflect Kazakhstan’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its counter-terrorism capabilities in response to both domestic and regional threats.
In a recent interview, Ermek Sagymbayev, KNB Chairman, discussed the measures being taken to prevent terrorist attacks and address the broader challenges posed by geopolitical instability, cybersecurity threats, and economic risks.
Sagymbayev emphasised the ongoing threat of radical religious ideologies infiltrating Kazakhstan, recalling the terrorist attacks in 2011-2012 and 2016 as examples of this danger. He highlighted the extensive work being done, often behind the scenes, to combat terrorism and religious extremism. Sagymbayev noted that the international community, including the United Nations, has recognised the approach to re-socializing former extremists and praised its effectiveness.
KNB Chairman also indicated that the Security Committee collaborates closely with foreign partners, including the CIS Anti-Terrorism Centre and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) Regional Anti-Terrorism Structure. Despite these efforts, Sagimbayev acknowledged that terrorism remains a significant challenge both globally and within Kazakhstan, requiring ongoing vigilance and cooperation.
Why Does It Matter?
Kazakhstan’s recent counter-terrorism operations play a crucial role in ensuring national security. The arrests demonstrate the government’s ability to pre-empt and neutralise potential threats.
Given the country’s central location in Asia and its proximity to areas of conflict like Afghanistan, Kazakhstan might face risks of regional instability. These operations serve as a deterrent to extremists and reaffirm Astana’s commitment to combating terrorism through coordinated national and international efforts. The continuous vigilance of Kazakh authorities is vital to preventing the establishment and spread of terrorist networks within the country.
Kazakhstan’s stability is crucial not only for its own development but also for its role in broader regional and international initiatives. A stable environment is essential for attracting the foreign investments that are key to the country’s economic growth. Additionally, the Central Asian republic plays a significant part in China’s Belt and Road Initiative and Russia’s Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), making its security a matter of interest to Beijing and Moscow as well.
Effective counter-terrorism efforts are vital to prevent the spread of extremist ideologies, particularly those propagated by groups like the Islamic State Wilayat Khorasan, which has increasingly targeted citizens in Central Asia. Preventing these influences is critical to avoiding violent attacks that could threaten the country’s stability and, by extension, its economic and strategic partnerships.
For further reports and consulting about Kazakhstan’s security, contact us at info@specialeurasia.com.
